As Nicola Sturgeon announces a draft referendum bill to be published next week, BMG releases its Scottish Independence voting intention results for the Herald.

At the opening day of the SNP conference in Glasgow, the First Minister indicated that she was ready to hold a referendum before the UK formally withdraws from the EU in two year time. However, our latest poll for the Herald found that if an Independence referendum were held tomorrow, 47% of Scots would vote to remain in the UK and 39% would vote for independence (12% undecided, 3% prefer not to say).

When those who say that they are undecided or prefer not to say are removed, support for independence is at 45%, and to remain part of the UK 55%, the same result as the 2014 Independence Referendum.


An article based on these polling results, released by the Herald, can be found here.

Fieldwork dates and methodology can be found here.

A full breakdown of these results can be found here.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.


0121 333 6006




Lauren Harris – Senior Research Executive

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