The latest BMG poll for the Herald reveals that one in three Labour supporters in Scotland are in favour of Labour entering a coalition with the SNP after the next General Election, if it meant securing power at Westminster.
Overall, the poll found that two fifths (42%) of Scots opposed the idea while more than one quarter (26%) were in favour of a coalition after the next General Election (32% said they didn’t know).
However, the results also revealed the extent of Scottish Labour voters’ support for an alliance among Scots. Just over half (52%) of Labour supporters in Scotland were opposed to the idea, while one in three (33%) said that they were in favour of a coalition between Labour and the SNP at Westminster (16% said don’t know).
Supporters of the SNP were also divided with more than four in ten (42%) in favour of a coalition, while slightly fewer (36%) were against it (23% said they didn’t know).
Unsurprisingly, a clear majority of Scottish Conservative (75%) and Scottish Lib Dem supporters (51%) were opposed to a Labour/SNP coalition at Westminster.
Those who voted “No” at the Independence Referendum in 2014 – for Scotland to remain in the UK – are shown to be strongly against a Westminster alliance, with just 18% in favour and more than half (57%) against (25% said they didn’t know). By contrast, those who voted for independence are much more in favour, with 42% supporting a coalition and 34% against (24% didn’t know).
Readers can interrogate the data for themselves by toggling with the chart below
Dr Michael Turner, Research Director at BMG Research, said “though most Scots are against Labour entering into a coalition with the SNP after the next General Election, as always, the devil is in the detail.
“The polling shows that it is those who feel they have most to lose who are against such a move, in this case the established Westminster parties; and those with most to gain who are for it, an insurgent Scottish National Party.
The results also show that those who voted for Scotland to remain part of the United Kingdom in 2014 are strongly against the SNP gaining power at Westminster, whereas those who voted “Yes” to independence are much more in favour.”
An article based on these polling results, released by the Herald, can be found here.
Fieldwork dates and methodology can be found here.
A full breakdown of these results can be found here.
For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.
0121 333 6006
Lauren Harris – Senior Research Executive