A recent BMG poll for The Independent shows the Labour party taking a polling lead over the Conservatives on Westminster Voting Intention for the first time in more than a year. The exclusive survey for The Independent now puts Labour five points ahead of the Tories on 42 per cent, up four points on mid-September. The poll showed the Tories on 37 per cent, down two points.

In a separate question on who respondents would prefer to be Prime Minister, Theresa May’s support has fallen by two points to 30 per cent, while support for Jeremy Corbyn rose by four points to 32 per cent.

It should also be noted that support for neither leader is still very high, at 27 per cent, with 11 per cent saying that they don’t know.

Mr Corbyn’s own overall NET approval ratings are at 0 per cent^, meaning that as many people said that they approve of his performance as leader as those who do not – this is a noteworthy increase from the most recent previous poll, which put him at minus 8 per cent. Ms May’s NET approval rating is at minus 19 per cent, down three points since mid-September.

^please note that figures may not sum to 100% or may vary slightly from charts due to rounding

An article by The Independent on our polling, can be found here.

Methodology, fieldwork dates, and a full breakdown of these results can be found here.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.



0121 333 6006


Dr Michael Turner – Research Director

Robert Struthers – Senior Research Executive

Share this article: