BMG Research was recently commissioned by campaigner Mev Brown to conduct polling on various Brexit related issues.  As part of the polling, we tested how framed language pertaining to a leave deal could affect the public’s response to potential outcomes related to Brexit.

The options for the polling in question are not all encompassing, with two different options essentially representing the same outcome of no deal, albeit worded differently and with reference to different legal mechanisms.  Some organisations which reported on the poll have combined the figure for these two options, thereby suggesting there is majority support for no deal.

BMG research does not believe this interpretation is genuinely reflective of public opinion regarding the future relationship between the UK and the EU. It is also worth noting that the figures reported were excluding ‘Don’t knows’, which represented a sizeable proportion of total responses (28%).

It should also be noted that, despite requests, BMG was not given forewarning on the release of these results or given the opportunity to check any associated press releases for our interpretation.

We feel a better gauge of support for leaving the EU without a deal is a recent poll that we have conducted on behalf of the Independent. This poll shows the public are divided on the way forward. 29% favoured holding another referendum, with leaving the EU without a deal or remaining in the EU as the two options, whilst 27% favoured said they would prefer to leave the EU without a deal in place. Meanwhile, 17% backed an extension to the negotiations. Full results and tables for this poll can be found here.

Methodology, fieldwork dates, and a full breakdown of the polling question asked for Mev Brown can be found here

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.


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