As we head into the political party conference season, BMG’s most recent voting intention poll for The Independent, shows the Lib Dems and UKIP up, with little change between the two main parties since August.

The Conservative party remains steady on 37% whilst Labour share has dropped by a single point to 38%. Please note that this is well within the margin of error, and so there is effectively no change on August results.

The exclusive survey on behalf of the Independent, conducted between 4th and 7th September, also sees some small gains for the Liberal Democrats and UKIP. The Liberal Democrats’ share has increased by 2 points on last month, bringing them up to 11% – their joint highest share since the last General Election in 2017.

UKIP’s share also increased by 2 points, putting them on 7%. This is the second month in a row that their voting intention share has risen by 2%. This is also the highest share of voting intentions they have received since July 2017.

Readers should note that all changes are within the margin of error.

Methodology, fieldwork dates, and a full breakdown of these results can be found here.

Please note that our method has changed after the 2017 General Election. Full details can be found here.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.


0121 333 6006




Andrew Price – Research Executive




Dr Michael Turner – Head of Polling

Share this article: