During the build-up to the Brexit deal vote in the House of Commons, BMG Research conducted an exclusive voting intention poll for The Independent. This month’s poll shows that the Conservatives and Labour are tied.

The voting intention for both the Conservative party and the Labour party have decreased slightly from last month, leaving both parties on 36%. This is the lowest score for the Labour party since the 2017 General Election, and the joint lowest score for the Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats’ voting intention has remained at 12% for the third month running, whilst UKIP’s voting intention has returned to 6%.

Readers should note that all polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. The historical record of public opinion polls at recent General Elections suggests that there is a 9 in 10 chance the true value of a party’s support share lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and there is a 2 in 3 chance that the results lie within 2 points.

Methodology, fieldwork dates, and a full breakdown of these results can be found here.

Please note that our method has changed after the 2017 General Election. Full details can be found here.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.



0121 333 6006

   Andrew Price – Research Executive

Share this article: