BMG Research has undertaken exclusive polling for The i newspaper. The polling covers topics including vote intention, Brexit, and immigration.

The results show:

  • Labour have an 18-point lead over the Conservatives, with 46% of voters supporting Labour, and 28% showing support for the Conservatives. Extrapolated into expected seats at the next election this would see the Conservatives with around 160 seats.
  • When asked how they would vote if they could re-vote in the 2016 EU referendum, 14% of Leave voters say they would vote to Remain, with only 7% of Remain voters saying the opposite.
  • 47% of voters also believe that we should have a closer economic relationship with the EU, to boost trade with countries within the EU.
  • 60% of voters believe that levels of immigration are too high, with 36% believing they are much too high.
  • 80% of those who voted Conservative in the 2019 election believe that immigration levels are too high, compared with 45% of those who voted Labour.

The picture around Brexit and so-called buyer’s remorse is complex.”

“Yes, more leave voters show signs of regret over how they voted, with over 1 in 10 saying they would vote to remain if they could go back in time and vote again.”

“And the public as a whole, including a sizeable minority of leave voters, think our exit from the EU has impacted areas including the economy, the cost of living, and trade negatively. Meanwhile, the vaccination programme is seen as the only tangible Brexit benefit.”

“However, this does not mean there is a clamouring among Leave voters to race back and re-join the EU. They might vote differently if they could turn the clocks back, but re-joining the EU is an altogether different proposition.”

“If a re-join or stay out vote was run today, more Remain voters say they would accept the new status quo than Leave voters say they would now re-join the EU.”

“Among some of those who voted in 2016, there seems to be a feeling of regret for the 2016 vote, but acceptance that it happened and an unwillingness to change now, over six years later.”

“We asked about the level of net migration in two ways, one with the figures showing the UK has seen net migration of over 500,000 in the last year, and one with no prompting at all.”

“The fact that both sets of results are very similar shows that the public has a fairly entrenched view, with a large majority believing numbers to be too high. What’s more, this is not a view just held by those who voted for the Conservatives at the last election. It is one shared by around half of Labour and Liberal Democrat voters too.”

“Despite one of the key planks of Brexit being to take back control of immigration, almost half of the public believe leaving the EU has actually had a negative impact on migration levels. Strikingly, a majority also believe Labour is best suited to tackle immigration over the Conservatives.”

Additional details:

An article by The i on Brexit can be found here.

An article by The i on immigration here.

Methodology, fieldwork dates, and a full breakdown of these results can be found here.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.


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