BMG’s latest poll on behalf of Left Foot Forward reveals that a significant minority of people would support a second EU referendum on Brexit, if the UK government and EU were unable to reach a deal.

The poll, conducted between 1st and 4th May, asked a representative sample of 1,441 GB adults to imagine a scenario where the UK Government and the European Union were unable to reach a deal. Then they were asked whether they would support a second referendum on Brexit, in this scenario.

Overall, 46% of respondents that they would support a second referendum in the case of a “no deal” scenario. On the other hand, 40% of respondents stated that they would not support a referendum if there was a “no deal scenario”. A further 14% stated that they did not know.

Age seems to be a major indicator in predicting people’s support for a second referendum. The polls show that younger respondents were generally more likely to be in support of a second referendum in the case of a “no deal”, whereas older participants were more likely to oppose a possible second referendum. Those aged 45 to 54 were most divided on the question, with 43% supporting and 46% opposing a second referendum in the case of a “no deal”.

Nearly two thirds (63%) of those who voted Conservative in the 2017 UK General Elections said they would not support a second referendum, whereas less than a third (29%) would support a new referendum and 8% said they did not know. On the other hand, 62% of Labour voters said they would support a second referendum compared to 28% who would not support a second referendum and 10% who said they did not know. Unsurprisingly, the majority of those who voted Liberal Democrat (76%) would support a second referendum and the majority of UKIP voters (72%) would not support a second referendum.

An article based on these polling results, released by Left Foot Forward, can be found here.

Methodology, fieldwork dates, and a full breakdown of these results can be found here.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.

polling@bmgresearch.co.uk

@BMGResearch

0121 333 6006

Andrew Price – Research Executive

 

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