BMG’s EU Referendum voting intention polling results for October shows Remain regaining its lead over Leave following last month’s stalemate.

Respondents were asked: “Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?” (identical to the question that appeared on the ballot paper for the 2016 EU referendum).

Our numbers for October continued to show a narrow margin. 49% of respondents thought the UK should stay in the EU, a small increase of 3 percentage points from September (46%). Overall, 44% said that the UK should leave, a decrease of 2 percentage points. A further 7% answered either don’t know or prefer not to say.

After factoring in our squeeze question (which asks which way voters are leaning), the headline figures for October (with respondents who say don’t know and refusals removed) is 53% for Remain and 47% for Leave.

An article based on these polling results, released by the Independent, can be found here.

Methodology, fieldwork dates, and a full breakdown of these results can be found here.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.


0121 333 6006

Andrew Price – Research Executive

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