BMG’s latest Westminster voting intention poll on behalf of The Independent sees an 8-point Conservative over the Labour Party.

The poll was conducted between 12th – 15th November and surveyed 1,506 GB adults.

Methodology, fieldwork dates, and a full breakdown of these results and a number of other questions released by the Independent can be found here.

Readers should keep in mind that the historical record of polling shows that there is a 9 in 10 chance that the actual share lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll.

Electoral Registration Adjustment: Factors have been applied to the Westminster Vote figures using to account rates of electoral registration among key groups. Factors were derived from a survey question that asked respondents whether or not they are registered to vote. The results were then segmented by age and tenure (two variables that were identified by the Electoral Commission report “Accuracy & Completeness of Electoral Registers 2016” as key discriminators of registration completeness). Readers should note that, since the electoral registration deadline for the upcoming General Election is not until the 26th of November 2019, it is possible that the profile of the eligible to vote population will change in the coming weeks as more people register to vote. Our electoral registration factors have been designed to be dynamic up to this point, adjusting to reflect reported levels of registration as ascertained by our polling, before they are eventually finalised once the deadline has passed.

Constituencies and candidates: Readers should also note that this poll was fielded during a week where the Brexit Party confirmed that they would not stand in constituencies that the Conservatives won in 2017, meaning that respondents will have been able to select the Brexit Party despite living in

An article based on these polling results, released by the Independent, can be found here.

Another article based on these polling results, released by the Independent, can be found here.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.

polling@bmgresearch.co.uk
@BMGResearch
0121 333 6006

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