BMG’s latest voting intention poll finds Labour and Conservatives neck and neck on 40% of the vote. Conducted between 6th and 9th February, the exclusive survey on behalf of the Independent represents a three-point increase for the Conservatives from our last publicly reported poll in December, with no change to Labour’s figures – all changes within the margin of error.

The Liberal Democrats show no signs of improvement since the General Election with an 8% share, while UKIP retain 5% support, despite their recent controversies.

Indeed, examining vote intentions since July of last year reveals very little shift in public support for each of the parties. The biggest margin between Labour and the Conservatives was recorded in October of last year when Labour took a 6-point advantage, but the difference between the two has been marginal since then. Lib Dem and UKIP vote shares have also been remarkably stable since the election, with Vince Cable’s party polling between 7 and 9 percent, and UKIP recording between 4 and 6 percent.

NOTE: Please note that some of the data reported in our Vote Intention Tracker was not publicly reported at the time of fieldwork. All data will be made available here soon.

An article by The Independent on our polling can be found here.

Methodology, fieldwork dates, and a full breakdown of these results can be found here.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.


0121 333 6006

Ciaran McGlone – Research Executive

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