BMG’s latest published EU Referendum voting intention figures show no change for Leave at 45% (nc), Remain up two percentage points to 43% (+2) and those undecided on 13% (-1 – DK/PNTS).

Latest EU Referendum tracker from BMG Research:

45% (nc) – Leave

43% (+2) – Remain

13% (-1) – Undecided (DK/PNTS)

Note: Figures in brackets are changes on results from March

Readers can interrogate the data for themselves by toggling with the drop-down menu in the chart below.

The results continue to show that younger people, who have a poor track record for turning out at elections and referendums, are strongly in support for the UK remaining a member of the EU.

Six in ten of those aged 18-24 (61%) are in favour of remaining in the EU, compared to just 23% in favour of leaving (13% undecided).

Conversely, around six in ten (58%) of those aged 65+, say that they will vote to leave the EU, compared to one third (33%) who say they will vote to remain (9% undecided).

When asked how likely they would be to vote in an EU Referendum if it were held tomorrow; more than three quarters (76%) of those aged 65+ said they would definitely vote, whereas just 41% of 18-24s said the same.

The clear political divide seen throughout 2016, is also evident in this month’s results. Labour supporters are almost twice as likely to vote for the UK to remain than to leave (60% Remain, 33% Leave, 7% DK/PNTS). As expected, UKIP supporters are almost entirely in favour of leaving (6% Remain, 89% Leave, 4% DK/PNTS), whilst Conservative supporters continue to be split down the middle with 45% in favour of remaining and 50% in favour of leaving the EU (4% DK/PNTS).

More details and a full breakdown of these results can be found here.

Fieldwork dates and methodology can be found here.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please visit our website or get in touch by email or phone.


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