In the midst of David Cameron’s negotiations with European representatives, BMG has polled the British public on whether they will vote to leave, or remain in the EU at the forthcoming referendum, the date of which is yet to be confirmed.

The results found that the public remain split in their views with 39% (nc) saying they will vote to remain and 38% (-1) saying they will vote to leave. Just less than one quarter of Britons say they are yet to decide (23% don’t know/prefer not to say*).

After ‘squeezing’ respondents who say they are yet to make up their mind, the undecided seem to be splitting evenly – with a limited impact on the final results. BMG’s published EU Referendum figures show Leave on 42% (-1), Remain on 44% (+1) and those undecided on 14% (nc – DK/PNTS).

Readers can interrogate the data for themselves by toggling with the drop-down menu in the chart below.

Though immigration remains a key dividing issue, with those who say immigration is the top concern for society today being much more likely to leave than remain, views on welfare and the role of government also divide voters.

Results of the BMG poll show that a majority of those who feel welfare does more harm than good would vote to leave (53%), as would those who feel that government does too much (51%). This is compared to a majority of those who think welfare does more good than harm in favour of remaining (51%).

Again, readers can interrogate the data for themselves by toggling with the drop-down menu in the chart below.

The poll also found that younger people are much more in favour of remaining in the EU with 64% of 18 to 24s saying they will vote to remain compared with 33% of 55 to 64s. There is a clear political divide with Labour and Liberal Democrat supporters in favour of remaining a member (Labour 61% remain, 27% leave,12% DK/PNTS, Liberal Democrat 67% remain, 29% leave, 4% DK/PNTS). Conservative and UKIP supporters are in favour of leaving (Conservative 42% remain, 51% leave, 8% DK/PNTS, UKIP 9% remain, 87% leave, 4% DK/PNTS).

More details and a full breakdown of these results can be found here.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please visit our website or get in touch by email or phone.

polling@bmgresearch.co.uk

@BMGResearch

0121 333 6006

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