BMG’s latest poll of Scottish voters (conducted 28th Sep-4th October) shows that the SNP continue with a commanding lead since the Scottish Parliamentary elections in May and although Nicola Sturgeon has the highest net approval rating of all leaders polled (+16%), Ruth Davidson comes in a close second place (+14%).

 

Holyrood Voting Intention & Change since May 2016.

Scottish Parliament – Constituency vote

The constituency vote results put the SNP on 40%, Scottish Conservatives 16%, Scottish Labour 14%, and the Scottish Liberal Democrats on just 6% with 22% undecided.

Excluding those who are undecided, this puts the SNP on 51%, Conservatives on 21%, Labour 18% & Lib Dems on 7% & Other on 3%.

 

Readers can interrogate the data for themselves by toggling with the chart below

Scottish Parliament – Regional list vote

In the second regional list vote the SNP is on 34%, Conservatives 16%, Labour 13%, the Scottish Greens 7%, Liberal Democrats 5% and UKIP just 2%, and 22% are undecided.

Excluding those who are undecided, this puts the SNP on 43% for the list, Conservatives on 20%, Labour 16% & Lib Dems on 7%, Scottish Greens on 8%, UKIP on 3% and Other on 1%.

 

Readers can interrogate the data for themselves by toggling with the chart below

However, for both votes, around one in five voters said that they were undecided about how they might vote.

 

Scottish Westminster Voting Intention

The SNP continues to see high levels of support for a General election vote on 40%, followed by Conservatives 16%, Labour 14%, Lib Dems 6% and Greens on 3%. Almost one fifth are undecided (19%).

Excluding those who are undecided, this puts the SNP on 49%, Conservatives on 20%, Labour 17% & Lib Dems on 8%, Scottish Greens on 3%, UKIP on 2% and Other on 1%.

Readers can interrogate the data for themselves by toggling with the chart below

Scottish Leaders Approval Ratings

BMG’s latest Scottish leader ratings shows that the First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, is the most popular party leader amongst Scottish voters, just ahead of Ruth Davidson – leader of the Opposition in the Scottish Parliament.

Overall, just over half of Scots (51%) are very or fairly satisfied with the way Nicola Sturgeon is doing her job as First Minister, compared to 35% who are very or fairly dissatisfied with the way she is doing her job giving her a net score of +16. Just 13% don’t know or have no opinion.

Four in ten Scots (41%) are very or fairly satisfied with the way Ruth Davidson is doing her job as leader of the Opposition, compared to 27% who are very or fairly dissatisfied with the way she is doing her job giving her a net score of +14. However, one third of Scots (33%) said that they don’t know or have no opinion.

Patrick Harvie, co-convener of the Scottish Greens has a net score of +10 however a majority (54%) didn’t know or had no opinion. By contrast Willie Rennie, Leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats, had a net score of -3 and voters were least satisfied with Kezia Dugdale with a net score of -17.

 nicola-sturgeon  ruth-davidson  patrick-harvie  willie-rennie  kezia-dugdale

Nicola Sturgeon

Ruth Davidson

Patrick Harvie

Willie Rennie

Kezia Dugdale

+16

+14

+10

-3

-10

Fieldwork dates and methodology can be found here.

A full breakdown of these results can be found here soon.

For a more detailed breakdown of results from this poll, or any other results from our polling series, please get in touch by email or phone.

polling@bmgresearch.co.uk

@BMGResearch

0121 333 6006

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Lauren Harris – Senior Research Executive